TY - CEPII
A1 - Cécile Couharde A1 - Issiaka Coulibaly A1 - David Guerreiro A1 - Valérie Mignon
TI - Revisiting the theory of optimum currency areas: Is the CFA franc zone sustainable?
IS - 2012-13
T3 - Working Papers
KW - Equilibrium exchange rates KW - CFA zone KW - Optimum Currency Areas KW - currency union sustainability
N2 - This paper aims at explaining why the CFA countries have successfully maintained a currency union for several decades, despite failing to meet many of optimum currency area criteria. We suggest that the CFA zone, while not optimal, has been at least sustainable. We test this sustainability hypothesis by relying on the Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) approach. In particular, we assess and compare the convergence process of real exchange rates towards equilibrium for the CFA zone countries and a sample of other sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. Our findings evidence that internal and external balances have been fostered and adjustments facilitated in the CFA zone as a whole?compared to other SSA countries?as well as in each of its ember countries.
ER -