International Economics

<< N°161

  N°161  
Issue Q1 2020  
The post-crises output growth effects in a globalized economy  
Bertrand Candelon
Alina Carare
Jean-Baptiste Hasse
Jing Lu
 
This paper investigates the persistent impact of financial crises on economic growth in different regimes of globalization. Relying on a nonlinear dynamic panel representation, this paper explains why the effects of globalization on growth weave into a tale of two opposite narratives. On average, a country experiences higher growth, the more open and integrated it is into the world. However, countries can also experience persistently lower medium-term output growth after a financial crisis, once globalization reaches a certain threshold. The benefits, as well as vulnerabilities, accrue earlier in the globalization process for low-income countries. Abstract

   
Globalization ; Financial crises ; Output growth ; Keywords
f30 ; f43 ; f65 ; JEL classification
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