International Economics

<< N°162

  N°162  
Issue Q2 2020  
The effects of investor emotions sentiments on crude oil returns: A time and frequency dynamics analysis  
 
In this paper, we use wavelet coherence analysis to find that sentiment has a significant effect on crude oil returns that lasts over various investment horizons. While oil returns are positively associated with the sentiments of optimism and trust, they are negatively linked to fear and anger. These relations are more pronounced over the medium and the long term. Additionally, we find that short-term oil returns are relatively more sentiment-sensitive during turbulent periods than in normal conditions. These results highlight the importance of sentiment and investor psychology in the crude oil market.
Abstract

   
Co-movement ; Crude oil ; Emotions sentiments ; Wavelet analysis ; Keywords
C58 ; G41 ; JEL classification
Order form