International Economics

<< N°172

  N°172  
Issue Q3 2022  
Inflation and unemployment, new insights during the EMU accession  
Jean-Louis Combes
Pierre Lesuisse
 
In the process of EU integration, toward the Eurozone (EA) accession, we try to understand, how changes in exchange rate regimes, attributed to the switch through the ERM-II and to the EA accession, influence the dynamic between inflation and unemployment, that is, swings on the Phillips curve coefficient. We look at a panel of EA countries, before and after their EA entry, over the last twenty years, using a recent work from McLeay and Tenreyro (2020), to clarify the impact of losing the monetary autonomy. Accession to the Eurozone leads to a non-significant inflation/unemployment relationship. We link this result to the fact that the small economies of the Eurozone do not have sufficient weight to influence the single monetary policy. This is corroborated by the fact that within the Eurozone, what we call the “economic leaders” maintain a significant trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
Abstract

   
Phillips curve ; European monetary union ; Panel ; Keywords
C33 ; E32 ; E52 ; JEL classification
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