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N°126-127 |
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Issue Q2-3 2011 |
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Index trading and agricultural commodity prices: A panel Granger causality analysis |
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Gunther Capelle-Blancard Dramane Coulibaly
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This paper investigates the causality between prices and index-based trading activity for twelve grain, livestock, and other soft commodity futures markets. We use panel Granger causality estimations based on SUR systems and Wald tests with market-specific bootstrap critical values in order to take into account the possible contemporaneous dependence across markets. Our results confirm that there is no causality between index-based positions and commodity futures prices. |
Abstract
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Speculation ; Financialization ; Food Crisis ; Soft Commodities ; Index Funds ; Panel Granger Causality ;
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Keywords |
G10 ; Q10 ;
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JEL classification |
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Order form
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