International Economics

<< N°145

  N°145  
Issue Q1 2016  
Do Exchange Rate Misalignments Really Affect Economic Growth? The Case of Sub-Saharan African Countries  
Ferdinand Owoundi
 
In order to shed light on the debate concerning the exiting of the Franc Zone area, we address the issue of the growth effects of currency misalignments in Sub-Saharan African countries. To this end, we first assess misalignments which we include in a growth equation while taking into account uncertainty and “jointness” between growth determinants using recent Bayesian inference techniques. More specifically, exchange rate regimes, as well as cross-sectional error dependence, will be explored. We thus demonstrate that the gain related to undervaluation is almost zero regardless of the exchange rate regime. Abstract

   
Misalignments ; Growth ; Bayesian inference ; Cross-sectional dependence ; Keywords
F31 ; O47 ; C51 ; JEL classification
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