CEPII - Accueil

Shooting oneself in the foot? US trade policy coping with Global Value Chains
According to Cecilia Bellora & Lionel Fontagné estimates, the measures already implemented by the trade war would cause significant value-added losses to China (USD 91 billion in the long run), but also to the United States (62 billion), due to the intertwining of global value chains. As in any war, imposing losses on an enemy comes at a high cost. If the tariff war were to escalate, German industry would pay a heavy toll.

September 30, 2019

Europe in the Sino-American Trade War
Cecilia Bellora
The US trade policy is severely destabilising the international trade system. The European Union is fighting to maintain the latter's stability, which is under dire threat. This text has been first published for the Schuman Foundation.

May 13, 2019

The "new silk roads": an evaluation essay
(4/4): Obstacles on the road
Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière
China's international expansion follows multiple paths: trade, investment, finance and currency, to focus on the economy. In doing so, it pursues different objectives. The new roads project appears to be the way to provide a flexible framework for China's overall strategy. However, we can question its feasibility.

April 29, 2019

The "new silk roads": an evaluation essay
(3/4): China as a global player in globalization
Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière
A review of China's international activity since 2013 is striking first of all by the speed with which it has made China a major player in globalization in terms of both direct investment and lending to developing countries. The Silk Roads project, which is a unique and unconventional project, appears above all as a means of gradually structuring the Chinese vision of globalization, which combines China's long-term economic and strategic interest.

April 23, 2019

Trade wars and global value chains: Shooting oneself in the foot
Cecilia Bellora, Lionel Fontagné
Since 2018, the US administration has implemented several measures limiting free trade with China and other countries. Using cross-country data and a general equilibrium model, this column argues that a trade war hurts not only the targeted countries but also the country imposing the tariffs. Column first published in VOX.

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The 2019 Euro-Latin Network on Integration and Trade (ELSNIT)
Conference hosted by the CEPII
October 23 - 24, 2019

Research seminar "Globalisation and international tax competition" by Professor Assaf Razin, Cornell University and Tel Aviv University
November 6, 2019

De la devise clé au multilatéralisme : quel rôle pour la Chine dans le Système Monétaire International ?
Avec Michel Aglietta et Camille Macaire
November 14, 2019

Immigration in OECD Countries - 9th Annual International Conference
December 12 - 13, 2019

Theories and Methods in Macroeconomics (T2M) - 24th Conference
Deadline for paper submission: November 4th, 2019
March 26 - 27, 2020

"Brexit, le compte à rebours"
avec Iain Begg, London School of Economics and Political Science, et Robert Ophèle, Président de l'Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF)
October 15, 2019

La table ronde CEPII aux 22es Rendez-vous de l'histoire 2019
L'économie, un terrain de confrontation international
October 11, 2019

La France est-elle exposée au protectionnisme ?
October 2, 2019

"Why Europe must untie its Gordian Safe Asset Knot " with Michala Marcussen, Group Chief Economist and Head of Economic and Sector Research, Société Générale
September 24, 2019

Petit-déjeuner débat "Guerres commerciales" avec Sébastien Jean, Directeur du CEPII
September 17, 2019

L'économie mondiale 2020 - conférence de présentation
September 11, 2019

Research seminar "International Sourcing and Employment in Times of Financial Crisis: The Case of France"
July 11, 2019

Just Released

L'économie mondiale 2020

Setting the Stage for RMB Internationalization - Liberalizing the Capital Account and Strengthening the Domestic Bond Market
Michel Aglietta, Camille Macaire

Sectoral Reallocations, Real Estate Shocks and Productivity Divergence in Europe: A Tale of Three Countries
Thomas Grjebine, Jérôme Héricourt, Fabien Tripier

Sectoral reallocations, Real estate shocks, and productivity divergence in Europe
Thomas Grjebine, Jérôme Héricourt, Fabien Tripier

Exchange rate pass-through to import prices: Accounting for changes in the Eurozone trade structure
Antonia Lopez-Villavicencio, Valérie Mignon

International Economics
N°159 - Q3 2019

Booms immobiliers, réallocations sectorielles et ralentissement des gains de productivité en Europe
Thomas Grjebine, Jérôme Héricourt, Fabien Tripier

La création d’entreprises dix ans après la Grande récession : une perspective macroéconomique
Marlène Isoré, Fabien Tripier

A world more equal, but countries less so?
Isabelle Bensidoun, Grégoire Elkouby

Profits of multinational firms abroad: measurement and impact on their home country
Laurence Nayman, Vincent Vicard

In the Journals

Power-law distribution in the external debt-to-fiscal revenue ratios: empirical evidence and a theoretical model
Journal of Macroeconomics
Gilles Dufrénot, Anne-Charlotte Paret Onorato

Agricultural Trade Liberalization in the 21st Century: Has it Done the Business?
Journal of Agricultural Economics
Sébastien Jean, Houssein Guimbard, Jean-Christophe Bureau

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Vers une union monétaire en Afrique
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In the Databases

Profils Pays / Country Profiles
- Interactive Data 2017 Updated
- Export (.csv) "All countries" for each table/figure

Des sanctions économiques seraient risquées
la-croix.com
Deniz Ünal