Euro Area real effective exchange rate misalignments
Benjamin Carton
Karine Hervé
The resolution of the eurozone crisis requires, amongst other things, successful relative price adjustments between member states. We estimate here the scale of the adjustments needed using fundamental equilibrium exchange rates. We suggest two scenarios of adjustments, depending on the levels of inflation tolerated in surplus countries and at the Euro Area level. If the ECB doesn’t temporarily increase its inflation objective, Portugal and Greece will be unable to significantly reduce their overvaluation by the end of the decade.Benjamin Carton
Karine Hervé
Keywords : Exchange Rates | Current Account Adjustment | Euro Area
JEL : f31, f32, f36
Subscribe to La Lettre du CEPII with our RSS feed https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/rss/RSSLettre.asp |
Back