CEPII, Recherche et Expertise sur l'economie mondiale
Beyond Target: Indirect Impacts of Antidumping


Sébastien Jean
Kevin Lefebvre

 Highlights :
  • This paper proposes a close examination of the indirect impacts of antidumping (AD) cases on the bilateral trade relationship between plaintiff and defendant, based on Chinese firm-level data between 2000 and 2011.
  • We find evidence that AD cases affect Chinese bilateral exports beyond targeted products: multi-product exporters reduce their export volume on their entire product basket.
  • In contrast, indirect impacts on export participations are not found to be statistically significant.

 Abstract :
This paper investigates the bilateral impacts of antidumping measures, beyond directly targeted products and exporting firms. It focuses on the country whose exports are most exposed to such measures, China. Productlevel analysis shows that export volumes are negatively affected for products similar to a product targeted by an antidumping case, i.e. belonging to the same tariff heading. Using firm-level data, we show that this impact is driven by within-firm contagion: targeted firms not only cut their exports of targeted products, they also reduce significantly their exports of non-targeted products. The decrease is half as large for the latter than for the former, but the total impact on bilateral trade is far larger, because the value of export flows affected by these indirect impacts is ten times larger than the value of directly targeted export flows. In addition, interestingly, this effect is more pronounced for small and private firms.


 Keywords : Antidumping | Spillovers | Multi-product firms | China

 JEL : F12, F13, F14, F15
CEPII Working Paper
N°2024-10, July 2024

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 Fields of expertise

Trade & Globalization
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